UEFA European Football Forum

Regarding groups of 3 teams, I have read online a super smart suggestion. Rather than having the 3 teams playing with each other with all the well known issues (dead rubbers, but also different resting days) it would be something like this Group A A1 A2 A3 Group B B1 B2 B3 Now teams from group A ...

Hi All, you can find my predictions based on simulations for the end season Country Ranking here: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FhDH2pCWYAANO8U?format=jpg&name=large FRA&NED fighting for position 5 BEL finishing 8th in all simulations AUT (58%) TUR (34%) SRB (8%) fighting for top 10 SUI almost certain ...

Uefa Country ranking 22/23 end season predictions, based on @clubelo ratings after MD5 results: Portugal now has about 17% to overtake 🇳🇱 Austria quite safe in top 10, but better be careful Battle for 11-15 is on 🔥 Ucraine and Switzerland the winners of this week Czech Rep. and Denmark now in trouble ...

Uefa Country Ranking 22/23 end season predictions, based on @clubelo ratings, after MD4. Following your siggestions I have have also added Predicted 5 years coeff. by season end. TUR continues its excellent run FRA vs NED (5 & 6) and AUT vs SRB (top 10) the most interesting fights DK can make it to ...

Uefa Country Ranking 2023 end season predictions based on @Clubelo ratings and 25K simulations. I have followed your suggestions and created a google sheet document where you can filter for data entries. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BmVjVSn8utS0Ghg-j8v3-LyhGOp7cdPFPIUyGhC0JBI/edit?usp ...

They have the odds for each of the group stage matches and the probabilities for each team to progress to the next rounds. So, with those numbers you can calculate where the rankings might end up. Oh, so you added everything up weighted by their probabilities? That seems like a lot of work, cool ...

So here in updated version of the 22/23 end season predictions based on @clubelo ratings. Changes from the previous one: -)25K simulations -)Added uncertainty to Elo ratings -)Formatted for better clarity -)Calculation errors corrected -)Associations with the same end season coef. are now ranked ...

So here in updated version of the 22/23 end season predictions based on @clubelo ratings. Changes from the previous one: -)25K simulations -)Added uncertainty to Elo ratings -)Formatted for better clarity -)Calculation errors corrected -)Associations with the same end season coef. are now ranked ...

I finally managed to complete this project I had on mind since a very long time. I have simulated all possible finishing positions and end season Uefa Country ranking using elo ratings. https://imgur.com/a/uU2ntTp Interesting battles for relevant ranking positions: Top 4 nothing to play for 5-6 ...

I have simulated the outcome of all qualifiers for UCL , UEL and ECL. Those are the probabilities to qualify for the Group stage of the 3 competitions for all teams entering UCL qualifiers either Champions Path or League Path. Let me know if you have any comment https://imgur.com/a/xMUAZw5 ...

I have simulated the outcome of all qualifiers for UCL , UEL and ECL. Those are the probabilities to qualify for the Group stage of the 3 competitions for all teams entering UCL qualifiers either Champions Path or League Path. Let me know if you have any comment

https://imgur.com/a/xMUAZw5

"So 6-12 get 2 clubs in EL instead of one. In CL champions path: 13-14 CL PO, 15-22 CL Q2, no clubs starting in CL Q3 and no PR since there will be 32 clubs in Q1, 16+8=24 in Q2, 12 in Q3 and 6+4=10 in PO" If 12 in Q3 and 2 in PO (13 & 14) how do we get to 10 in PO? or 13 & 14 qualify 2 teams each ...

I have tried to simulate how a possible swiss format could look like, and it is more complex than I expected. issue number 1 is how to compile the calendar to balance number of matches against teams from same pot and teams from different pots evenly during the 10 matchdays. Issue number 2 is the ...

Plus lot of the crucial matches in the last few days were biased by facing opponents having nothing to play for (see Scotland for example). Yes, but Denmark did not play with a weakened squad. Attendance of 50,000 btw at Hampden Park! I live in Denmark and I know danes take those things quite ...

I do not know if it has been discussed before, but what do you think about the seeding system used for the play-off? My personal opinion is that it is unfair to rank teams based on performances in different groups since theyhave faced different opponents. Plus lot of the crucial matches in the last ...