UEFA European Football Forum

Very curious to see how they will manage with bonus points considering that with the new format teams are not transferred anymore from one competition to another I am not expecting big changes. At EL and ECL if we consider top8 of league at new system as group winners of old system and clubs ranked ...

I just calculated the following probabilities: Probability of CL-TH NOT qualified for CL-GS by domestic league: 4% Probability of EL-TH NOT qualified for CL-GS by league: 16% I have used finishing probabilities from Euroclubindex (to win the domestic league, finish second etc), and taking into ...

Very curious to see how they will manage with bonus points considering that with the new format teams are not transferred anymore from one competition to another

Good draw for the Greeks, they have a chance, but they are not favorites. :D Before second leg, Greece was 0,1% possible to finish 15th, 0,4% 16th and 99,3% 17th How possible is now P15? I think it's more than 10%. Not a good chance, but Greece is still alive... Before last night this was the ...

Probabilities to Finish top 2 in the seasonal ranking ( my calculations using Clubelo ratings and simulations ) 94.6% ITA 🇮🇹 88.1% ENG 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 16.1% GER 🇩🇪 1.2% FRA 🇫🇷 Leverkusen kept Germany alive and it is also the German team expected to collect the most coefficient points from now on Of course th ...

The draw procedure for the group stage is much more complicated than it used to be. 1) teams from same country can’t be paired ( same as before ) 2) teams must play 1 home and 1 away game against each opponent from each pot 3 most likely no reverse fixtures are allowed ( where A plays B and then B p ...

So in terms of data availability, Opta definitely wins out over ClubElo since they seem to provide a rating for pretty much any club out there. Are Opta's rankings more accurate and reflective of actual club strength though? Would be interesting to do a comparison for clubs that we have a decent ...

Thank you for the kinds words, and feedback! 1. The spreadsheets updates automatically (league standings, club coefficients, clubelo values) on a daily basis so I don't know how meaningful it would be to show when it was last updated. 2. First off, is your issue with the Elo values for lower ranked ...

LINK TO SPREADSHEET: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12rV12J729nZYIAzmogNHu-t3kak3CcsCKCXcSfrTFvk/ Hi everyone, I've decided to revive this spreadsheet for one purpose: simulating the qualification rounds using ClubElo values of all clubs. - Access list and assumptions around what clubs ...

I have created a Google Sheet, hope it works. Let me know if you see any mistake :
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing

Last week I simulated the UCL qualifiers , you can find a table with probabilities to qualify to the group stage of the 3 European competitions for all participating teams at the following link:
https://twitter.com/lorenzo_carli83/sta ... 89761?s=20

Of course it's not like the current rankings... The is no reason for so many weights. Also Elo ratings for clubs exist on many websites, for example http://clubelo.com/ Since a few months we also have Opta Rankings which are also based on Elo system . The main advantage is that they literally cover ...

It's simply Elo rating, nothing fancy... No need for so many importance factors, it already takes into account the strength of the teams anyway. And what you call F is called K factor,and you used too big number It's based on ELO but modified to fit the UEFA CC. I wanted to weigh each round of each ...

So last seasons mostly regional pots were clearly an outlier, but I do find it quite amusing how some of those twitter guys were selling their mock groupings as 100% accurate based on this old map https://kassiesa.net/uefa/uefa-cup-regions.html I tend to agree with You . but what’s then the point o ...

Hi All, I apologize if it has already been asked before. I was wondering if anybody knows the procedure for the match schedule for the group stage ? I can´t find it mentioned anywhere online nor on the FIFA regulations. I mean: we know how teams are seeded in the 4 pots and how the groups draw works. ...