Interesting and good analysis. If you look at the Excel-sheet dnina10 created for the 2021-system using this season‘s EC-starters, you see that:Ricardo wrote:Funkmaster wrote:All clubs who are not champion or inside top15-leagues go to Europa Conference League.wannabeontop wrote:So after which season will the ranking be "reformatted" in a way that the countries under 28th will go to the Conference (except for the champions)?
In current Europa League there are 3 (three) teams that are not champion from a country outside of top-15 leagues (Malmo, Partizan Celtic)
Those will move to the conference league
Also will move to the conference league Wolves, Espanyol, Frankfurt, Braga, Guimareas, Gent, Trabzonspor, AZ
Plus 5 more (non)champions that didn't make it to the CL will move let's say Slovan Bratislava, Dudelange, Ludogorets, Astana, Ferencvaros.
so the reduction 48->32 is at teh cost of 8 teams out of top 15 and 8 teams from below top 15.
- 3 of 32 clubs in CL are outside top15-leagues (Celtic, Copenhagen, Dinamo Zagreb)
- 6 of 32 clubs in EL1 are outside top15-leagues (Ludogorets, Astana, BATE, APOEL, Karabach, Maribor)
- 20 of 32 clubs in EL2 are outside top15-leagues. Clubs from top15 leagues are Braga, Gent, Frankfurt, Getafe, Standard, Wolverhampton, Spartak Moskau, Torino, Oleksandriya, AEK Athen, WAC, Lugano
Keep in mind that this Excel-sheet is based on the assumption that all seeded clubs in qualification win their ties. So it‘s a bit theoretical, but reality isn‘t far off.
So while countries outside top15 should get only 9 out of 64 spots for CL or EL1 (14%), they do take up the majority of EL2. In EL1-PO champions and non-champions are mixed, so it‘s clear for me UEFA want to keep “weak“ champions like Dudelange, Ferencvaros or Cluj and “unworthy“ cupwinners like WAC, Lugano and Oleksandriya away from EL1, which is a very good thing imo.