New Champions League at 2024 and on
- bjkman1903
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Well, for me every team need to play qualifiers.
It doesn't matter if top 5 teams are too strong and would surely qualify anyway.
There's a big difference when you start your European season early in July or mid-September.
If privileges are needed, I would only consider giving direct access to domestic champions of top 6/8/10
But of course it will never happen, it's all down to the generated money in the end.
It doesn't matter if top 5 teams are too strong and would surely qualify anyway.
There's a big difference when you start your European season early in July or mid-September.
If privileges are needed, I would only consider giving direct access to domestic champions of top 6/8/10
But of course it will never happen, it's all down to the generated money in the end.
Black Eagles 1903
Top 5 unseeded: 11 times. 7/11fabiomh wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 15:47that's interesting.Overgame wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 14:28 99/00: no top 5 unsseded
00/01: 2 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
01/02: 1 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
02/03: 1 top 5 unseeded, no clash
03/04: no top 5 unseeded
04/05: no top 5 unseeded
05/06: 3 top 5 unseeded, 2 clashes
06/07: 2 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
07/08: 1 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
08/09: 1 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
11 unsseded, 7 clashes when the probability of a clash happening is around 30-35%. UEFA was so "unlucky".
all the clashes are related to unseeded teams?
If not, curious to see the clash split between seeded and unseeded Top5 teams... to see the related % of clashes for the two groups
when I will have a bit of time, I will do it.
Against top 5, 7 times, 4/7
Against non-top 5, 4 times, 3/4
00/01: Leeds Germany - 1860 Munich, Leeds seeded won
Brondby - Hamburg, Hamburg unseeded won
01/02: Parma - Lille, Lille unseeded won
02/03: Boavista - Auxerre, Auxerre unseeded won
05/06: Betis - Monaco, Betis unseeded won
Everton - Villareal, Villareal seeded won
Sporting - Udinese, Udinese unseeded won
06/07: Hamburg - Osasuna, Hamburg seeded won
Levski - Chievo, Levski seeded won
07/08: Toulouse - Liverpool, Liverpool seeded won
08/09: Schalke 04 - Atlético, Atlético unseeded won
11 unseeded
France 3 - Parma (won) Boavista (won) Liverpool (lost) 2/3
Spain 3 - Monaco (won) Hamburg (lost) Schalke (won) 2/3
Italy 2 - Sporting (won) Levski (lost) 1/2
Germany 2 - Leeds (lost) Brondby (won) 1/2
England 1 - Villareal (won) 1/1
Countries facing an unseeded top 5
England 2 - 1860 Munich (won) Toulouse (won) 2/2
Germany 2 - Osasuna (won) Atlético (lost) 1/2
Portugal 2 - Auxerre (lost) Udinese (lost) 0/2
Spain 1 - Everton (won) 1/1
Bulgaria 1 - Chievo (won) 1/1
Italy 1 - Lille (lost) 0/1
France 1 - Betis (lost) 0/1
Denmark 1 - Hamburg (lost) 0/1
Is it what you were asking for? Sorry, I am a bit exhausted.
@bjkman1903 it will just be a pure luck shitfest.
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Exactly, that's what people fail to understand - the more teams in qualifying (and especially the stronger ones), the more luck of the draw becomes a factor instead of abilty.Overgame wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 16:45Top 5 unseeded: 11 times. 7/11fabiomh wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 15:47that's interesting.Overgame wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 14:28 99/00: no top 5 unsseded
00/01: 2 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
01/02: 1 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
02/03: 1 top 5 unseeded, no clash
03/04: no top 5 unseeded
04/05: no top 5 unseeded
05/06: 3 top 5 unseeded, 2 clashes
06/07: 2 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
07/08: 1 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
08/09: 1 top 5 unseeded, 1 clash
11 unsseded, 7 clashes when the probability of a clash happening is around 30-35%. UEFA was so "unlucky".
all the clashes are related to unseeded teams?
If not, curious to see the clash split between seeded and unseeded Top5 teams... to see the related % of clashes for the two groups
when I will have a bit of time, I will do it.
Against top 5, 7 times, 4/7
Against non-top 5, 4 times, 3/4
00/01: Leeds Germany - 1860 Munich, Leeds seeded won
Brondby - Hamburg, Hamburg unseeded won
01/02: Parma - Lille, Lille unseeded won
02/03: Boavista - Auxerre, Auxerre unseeded won
05/06: Betis - Monaco, Betis unseeded won
Everton - Villareal, Villareal seeded won
Sporting - Udinese, Udinese unseeded won
06/07: Hamburg - Osasuna, Hamburg seeded won
Levski - Chievo, Levski seeded won
07/08: Toulouse - Liverpool, Liverpool seeded won
08/09: Schalke 04 - Atlético, Atlético unseeded won
11 unseeded
France 3 - Parma (won) Boavista (won) Liverpool (lost) 2/3
Spain 3 - Monaco (won) Hamburg (lost) Schalke (won) 2/3
Italy 2 - Sporting (won) Levski (lost) 1/2
Germany 2 - Leeds (lost) Brondby (won) 1/2
England 1 - Villareal (won) 1/1
Countries facing an unseeded top 5
England 2 - 1860 Munich (won) Toulouse (won) 2/2
Germany 2 - Osasuna (won) Atlético (lost) 1/2
Portugal 2 - Auxerre (lost) Udinese (lost) 0/2
Spain 1 - Everton (won) 1/1
Bulgaria 1 - Chievo (won) 1/1
Italy 1 - Lille (lost) 0/1
France 1 - Betis (lost) 0/1
Denmark 1 - Hamburg (lost) 0/1
Is it what you were asking for? Sorry, I am a bit exhausted.
@bjkman1903 it will just be a pure luck shitfest.
The problem with football is that there is a lot of money involved in this sport today. In the other most popular sports in Europe, there is not even a tenth of the money as in football, therefore there is enormous corruption and a lot of privileges. Football is more and more similar to politics, what in politics are various incentives for the chosen ones, in football are various privileges for the chosen ones. Few people care about fair play when so much money is involved.bjkman1903 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 16:36 Well, for me every team need to play qualifiers.
It doesn't matter if top 5 teams are too strong and would surely qualify anyway.
There's a big difference when you start your European season early in July or mid-September.
If privileges are needed, I would only consider giving direct access to domestic champions of top 6/8/10
But of course it will never happen, it's all down to the generated money in the end.
Small local clubs are also surrounded by various fraudsters in order to get their share of the cake, and how it works in larger, richer clubs, county or national associations or in FIFA and UEFA, we can often see in black chronicles. Various managers threaten coaches because their player doesn't play, parents pay coaches so that their children play, a football manager was killed in an ambush, the coach was beaten with baseball bats at the entrance to the apartment, the player was kidnapped at gunpoint and driven around in the hood all night until he finally signed the contract. numerous trials for various frauds involving finances and transfers, money laundering in off shore destinations and the like. All in all, live circus!
- bjkman1903
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Yes, luck will be an important factor but that's the same situation for all teams in qualifying rounds anyway.amirbachar wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 19:40 Exactly, that's what people fail to understand - the more teams in qualifying (and especially the stronger ones), the more luck of the draw becomes a factor instead of abilty.
At least everyone will have the same treatment, start at the same time. Why is giving direct access a good thing anyway? So that weaker league teams could fight with each other for a few tickets? Or UEFA making sure to have as much top 5 league teams in its best competition ?
What I fail to understand is why should Lens start in GS just because they are French (nothing against Lens, just an example) or Union Berlin just because they are German. Or Newcastle just because they are English.
I would prefer they play qualifiers and consider them "bad draws"
Black Eagles 1903
- bjkman1903
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- Location: Belgium
I know, all that matters is money.babaluj1 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 22:32 The problem with football is that there is a lot of money involved in this sport today. In the other most popular sports in Europe, there is not even a tenth of the money as in football, therefore there is enormous corruption and a lot of privileges. Football is more and more similar to politics, what in politics are various incentives for the chosen ones, in football are various privileges for the chosen ones. Few people care about fair play when so much money is involved.
I was just dreaming of a fair competition with no privilege, it will obviously never happen.
Black Eagles 1903
I understand the "everybody gets the same treatment" but the luck factor is just plain wrong. For an unseeded champion, having more than a 50% chance of drawing a potential quarter-finalist is just BS.bjkman1903 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 22:43Yes, luck will be an important factor but that's the same situation for all teams in qualifying rounds anyway.amirbachar wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 19:40 Exactly, that's what people fail to understand - the more teams in qualifying (and especially the stronger ones), the more luck of the draw becomes a factor instead of abilty.
At least everyone will have the same treatment, start at the same time. Why is giving direct access a good thing anyway? So that weaker league teams could fight with each other for a few tickets? Or UEFA making sure to have as much top 5 league teams in its best competition ?
What I fail to understand is why should Lens start in GS just because they are French (nothing against Lens, just an example) or Union Berlin just because they are German. Or Newcastle just because they are English.
I would prefer they play qualifiers and consider them "bad draws"
And "why Lens and Newcastle start in GS while x doesn't"? Seriously? The mere fact of finishing above teams who can pass the GS isn't enough, they should also have to possibly eliminate one more? "Congratulations Lens/Newcastle, now as a reward please try to join the GS by beating Real, Barcelona, Atlético,
What's the hardest path, finishing 4th in England/France or winning a league without any team able to pass the GS? Or let's take our domestic competition as an example, which one is harder, winning the title then win a tie against AEK Athens or finishing above Marseille, Rennes, Lille, Toulouse, Lyon, Monaco and Lyon? And I am taking the weakest top 5 league vs one of the strongest non-top 5 (in average), let's note even talk about the other 4.
If I am not mistaken, here are the 32 highest coefficients in the CL (qualifiers + GS)
Code: Select all
Manchester City Eng 145.000
Bayern München Ger 136.000
Real Madrid Esp 121.000
Paris Saint-Germain Fra 112.000
Manchester United Eng 104.000
Internazionale Ita 96.000
Sevilla Esp 91.000
FC Barcelona Esp 98.000
Borussia Dortmund Ger 86.000
Napoli Ita 81.000
Atlético Madrid Esp 85.000
RB Leipzig Ger 84.000
Benfica Por 82.000
FC Porto Por 81.000
Arsenal Eng 76.000
Shakhtar Donetsk Ukr 63.000
FC Salzburg Aut 59.000
Dinamo Zagreb Cro 55.000
Glasgow Rangers Sco 54.000
AC Milan Ita 50.000
Feyenoord Ned 51.000
Sporting Braga Por 44.000
PSV Eindhoven Ned 43.000
Lazio Ita 42.000
Red Star Belgrade Srb 42.000
FC København Den 40.500
Young Boys Sui 34.500
Real Sociedad Esp 33.000
Olympique Marseille Fra 33.000
Galatasaray Tur 31.500
Celtic Sco 31.000
Ferencváros Hun 27.000
Yeah, the direct spot is so unfair, isn't it?
Exactly.bjkman1903 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 22:43Yes, luck will be an important factor but that's the same situation for all teams in qualifying rounds anyway.amirbachar wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 19:40 Exactly, that's what people fail to understand - the more teams in qualifying (and especially the stronger ones), the more luck of the draw becomes a factor instead of abilty.
At least everyone will have the same treatment, start at the same time. Why is giving direct access a good thing anyway? So that weaker league teams could fight with each other for a few tickets? Or UEFA making sure to have as much top 5 league teams in its best competition ?
What I fail to understand is why should Lens start in GS just because they are French (nothing against Lens, just an example) or Union Berlin just because they are German. Or Newcastle just because they are English.
I would prefer they play qualifiers and consider them "bad draws"
Earn it on the pitch.
UEFA - We care about money. Pravda za Kolubaru!
Even the strongest clubs can suffer in the qualifications, the truth is that they will be eliminated once in every 10 participations, at least that is clear to everyone. True, they will turn out less often than weaker clubs, but they are not invincible.
The fairest thing would be all the clubs that qualified for Europe in the joint qualifiers using the Swiss system, let's say 120 strongest clubs 4 games with different opponents, then 36 best in CL, those up to 72nd place in EL, or 108 in ECL, the rest are eliminated.
But realistically, we can't expect that from UEFA, some of the Top 5 leagues would suffer badly, and UEFA doesn't want to allow that.
The fairest thing would be all the clubs that qualified for Europe in the joint qualifiers using the Swiss system, let's say 120 strongest clubs 4 games with different opponents, then 36 best in CL, those up to 72nd place in EL, or 108 in ECL, the rest are eliminated.
But realistically, we can't expect that from UEFA, some of the Top 5 leagues would suffer badly, and UEFA doesn't want to allow that.
- bjkman1903
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@Overgame , we see things differently.Overgame wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 23:28 I understand the "everybody gets the same treatment" but the luck factor is just plain wrong. For an unseeded champion, having more than a 50% chance of drawing a potential quarter-finalist is just BS.
And "why Lens and Newcastle start in GS while x doesn't"? Seriously? The mere fact of finishing above teams who can pass the GS isn't enough, they should also have to possibly eliminate one more? "Congratulations Lens/Newcastle, now as a reward please try to join the GS by beating Real, Barcelona, Atlético,
What's the hardest path, finishing 4th in England/France or winning a league without any team able to pass the GS? Or let's take our domestic competition as an example, which one is harder, winning the title then win a tie against AEK Athens or finishing above Marseille, Rennes, Lille, Toulouse, Lyon, Monaco and Lyon? And I am taking the weakest top 5 league vs one of the strongest non-top 5 (in average), let's note even talk about the other 4.
Basically a luck shitfest. Half of the teams are unplayable, 25% are really though: you basically hope to get one of the remaining 25%. And don't start with "just get seeded DUH". To get seeded you need to score points. To score points, you need to play the GS. To play the GS you need to pass the qualifiers. To even play the qualifiers you need to qualify in your league. For Antwerp, it means finishing above decent teams three or four times in five years, for Newcastle it means kicking at least one potential EL/ECL winner out of Europe. Three or four times. Or twice and goind deep. Or win the Cup.
Yeah, the direct spot is so unfair, isn't it?
For you, direct spots "protect" non-top 10 league champions, for me, it "protects" top 5 league teams from an accident happening (even if it happens once every 10 years)
I agree that the 4th team of England is probably stronger than any champion in the current champions path, this is not the issue.
I want that all teams deserve their places on the pitch and not get direct access because their league is strong.
If you are unlucky ? That's not the end of the road, there is still EL and then ECL. Build your coefficient there and get seeded for the next times.
Black Eagles 1903
we can also say that it "protects" top 4 league teams, since there is a gap between 4th (4 secured spot) and 5th place (2 + 1);bjkman1903 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 09:10 ...for me, it "protects" top 5 league teams from an accident happening (even if it happens once every 10 years)...
or it protects top 4 league teams + PSG
Hope for more partecipants in the next Prediction Game
- bjkman1903
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I added 5th place because from next year on 3 French teams will have direct access to CLGSfabiomh wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 11:34we can also say that it "protects" top 4 league teams, since there is a gap between 4th (4 secured spot) and 5th place (2 + 1);bjkman1903 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 09:10 ...for me, it "protects" top 5 league teams from an accident happening (even if it happens once every 10 years)...
or it protects top 4 league teams + PSG
Black Eagles 1903
And as usual the gEt SeEdEd excuse. Yeah, build your coefficient, it only a few years of not getting smacked by an unlucky draw.bjkman1903 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 09:10@Overgame , we see things differently.Overgame wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 23:28 I understand the "everybody gets the same treatment" but the luck factor is just plain wrong. For an unseeded champion, having more than a 50% chance of drawing a potential quarter-finalist is just BS.
And "why Lens and Newcastle start in GS while x doesn't"? Seriously? The mere fact of finishing above teams who can pass the GS isn't enough, they should also have to possibly eliminate one more? "Congratulations Lens/Newcastle, now as a reward please try to join the GS by beating Real, Barcelona, Atlético,
What's the hardest path, finishing 4th in England/France or winning a league without any team able to pass the GS? Or let's take our domestic competition as an example, which one is harder, winning the title then win a tie against AEK Athens or finishing above Marseille, Rennes, Lille, Toulouse, Lyon, Monaco and Lyon? And I am taking the weakest top 5 league vs one of the strongest non-top 5 (in average), let's note even talk about the other 4.
Basically a luck shitfest. Half of the teams are unplayable, 25% are really though: you basically hope to get one of the remaining 25%. And don't start with "just get seeded DUH". To get seeded you need to score points. To score points, you need to play the GS. To play the GS you need to pass the qualifiers. To even play the qualifiers you need to qualify in your league. For Antwerp, it means finishing above decent teams three or four times in five years, for Newcastle it means kicking at least one potential EL/ECL winner out of Europe. Three or four times. Or twice and goind deep. Or win the Cup.
Yeah, the direct spot is so unfair, isn't it?
For you, direct spots "protect" non-top 10 league champions, for me, it "protects" top 5 league teams from an accident happening (even if it happens once every 10 years)
I agree that the 4th team of England is probably stronger than any champion in the current champions path, this is not the issue.
I want that all teams deserve their places on the pitch and not get direct access because their league is strong.
If you are unlucky ? That's not the end of the road, there is still EL and then ECL. Build your coefficient there and get seeded for the next times.
And tHiS iS nOt ThE iSsUe, aka "I don't have an argument so I'll dismiss this".
dEseRvE tHeIr PlAcE oN tHe PiTcH. I guess Lens or Newcastle didn't play against Liverpool, City, Arsenal, PSG, Marseille, etc.
If you're going to do this, it should be a group stage that starts at where Q2 should be with groups of 4. That way you can get rid of the bad luck factor by using Q1 to weed out enough teams to have 18 groups. Oh it'll still suck if you get Real Madrid, but now you (probably) don't need to knock them out just to qualify, your real fight is with the other two teams in your group.bjkman1903 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 04, 2024 16:36 Well, for me every team need to play qualifiers.
It doesn't matter if top 5 teams are too strong and would surely qualify anyway.
There's a big difference when you start your European season early in July or mid-September.
If privileges are needed, I would only consider giving direct access to domestic champions of top 6/8/10
But of course it will never happen, it's all down to the generated money in the end.
The real question is whether the last placed GS CL clubs deserved and justified their places in the CL this year? We are talking about Manchester United, Sevilla, Union Berlin, Salzburg, Celtic, Newcastle, Crvena Zvezda and Antwerp. I would say that none of them deserved and justified a place in the CL, the only exception being Newcastle, who won 5 points and were eliminated in a really difficult group.
Antwerp was the only one to qualify for the CL, eliminating only the weak AEK, which was eliminated in the EL. All other last-placed clubs got direct places in the CL thanks to UEFA privileges.
Realistically, those clubs with the games they showed wouldn't even pass the groups in EL. This shows all the pointlessness of direct places in the CL, as well as the qualification system where weak Antwerp goes into the CL with one elimination of AEK.
Antwerp was the only one to qualify for the CL, eliminating only the weak AEK, which was eliminated in the EL. All other last-placed clubs got direct places in the CL thanks to UEFA privileges.
Realistically, those clubs with the games they showed wouldn't even pass the groups in EL. This shows all the pointlessness of direct places in the CL, as well as the qualification system where weak Antwerp goes into the CL with one elimination of AEK.