UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Play-Off round

Champions League, Europa League, Conference League
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nogomet
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Post by nogomet »

Projected UEFA Europa League group stage pots if all teams with higher club coefficients win in the play-off round of UEL and UCL.

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Firnen
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Post by Firnen »

This round has some weird match-ups that you rarely see between champions of small countries and Cup Winners/N3 of higher countries.

Zurich vs Hearts, Helsinki vs Silkeborg, Malmo vs Sivasspor.
bugylibicska
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Post by bugylibicska »

SC Dnipro-1 Ukr AEK Larnaca Cyp 45:55
AA Gent Bel Omonia Nicosia Cyp 60:40
Austria Wien Aut Fenerbahçe Tur 35:65

FC Zürich Sui Hearts FC Sco 70:30
HJK Helsinki Fin Silkeborg IF Den 40:60
Malmö FF Swe Sivasspor Tur 55:45

Ferencváros Hun Shamrock Rovers Irl 70:30
Apollon Limassol Cyp Olympiakos Piraeus Gre 40:60

Pyunik Yerevan Arm Sheriff Tiraspol Mol 35:65
Ludogorets Razgrad Bul Zalgiris Vilnius Lit 60:40
EarlofBug
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Post by EarlofBug »

Firnen wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 03:06 This round has some weird match-ups that you rarely see between champions of small countries and Cup Winners/N3 of higher countries.

Zurich vs Hearts, Helsinki vs Silkeborg, Malmo vs Sivasspor.
Other names that we're not used to see in the PO round: 3 Cypriot teams, Dnipro-1 and Shamrock Rovers!
Last edited by EarlofBug on Fri Aug 12, 2022 03:47, edited 1 time in total.
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Firnen
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Post by Firnen »

EarlofBug wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 03:38
Firnen wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 03:06 This round has some weird match-ups that you rarely see between champions of small countries and Cup Winners/N3 of higher countries.

Zurich vs Hearts, Helsinki vs Silkeborg, Malmo vs Sivasspor.
Other names that we're used to see in the PO round: 3 Cypriot teams, Dnipro-1 and Shamrock Rovers!
Cyprus might end with 4 teams in the Conference League Groups, something that might never happen again for any country.
But I expect AEK Larnaca to beat Dnipro, thus 2 or 3 looks more probable.
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Greyn
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Post by Greyn »

Dnipro will host AEK Larnaca in Kosice. They planned to play in Southern Poland for weeks, but eventually will play their home Play-off match even farther south.
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Greyn
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Post by Greyn »

Odds to qualify for the EL Group Stage:

HJK - 2.19, Silkeborg IF - 1.60
FK Austria Wien - 3.09, Fenerbahçe SK - 1.32
FC Zürich - 1.45, Heart of Midlothian FC - 2.55
Malmö FF - 2.10, Sivasspor Kulübü - 1.65
Dnipro-1 - 2.25, AEK Larnaca - 1.57
Apóllon FC - 3.64, Olympiakós SFP - 1.24
Pyunik Yerevan - 2.73, Sheriff Tiraspol - 1.40
Ludogorets Razgrad - 1.25, Žalgiris Vilnius - 3.56
Ferencvárosi TC - 1.26, Shamrock Rovers FC - 3.48
KAA Gent - 1.19, AS Omónia Lefkossías - 4.15

If I had to pick one tie to bet, I would bet on Silkeborg to qualify. I think that relation between odds - probability of success is best here.
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Posmatrač
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Post by Posmatrač »

Greyn wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 11:41 Odds to qualify for the EL Group Stage:

HJK - 2.19, Silkeborg IF - 1.60
FK Austria Wien - 3.09, Fenerbahçe SK - 1.32
FC Zürich - 1.45, Heart of Midlothian FC - 2.55
Malmö FF - 2.10, Sivasspor Kulübü - 1.65
Dnipro-1 - 2.25, AEK Larnaca - 1.57
Apóllon FC - 3.64, Olympiakós SFP - 1.24
Pyunik Yerevan - 2.73, Sheriff Tiraspol - 1.40
Ludogorets Razgrad - 1.25, Žalgiris Vilnius - 3.56
Ferencvárosi TC - 1.26, Shamrock Rovers FC - 3.48
KAA Gent - 1.19, AS Omónia Lefkossías - 4.15

If I had to pick one tie to bet, I would bet on Silkeborg to qualify. I think that relation between odds - probability of success is best here.
Also Malmo,i know they are in shambles now,but they are still not worse than Sivasspor.
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krdel
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Post by krdel »

Greyn wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 08:29 Dnipro will host AEK Larnaca in Kosice. They planned to play in Southern Poland for weeks, but eventually will play their home Play-off match even farther south.
On Lokomotiva stadium? Is that ground suitable for Europen football?
UEFA - We care about money. Pravda za Kolubaru!
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Greyn
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Post by Greyn »

krdel wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 15:34
Greyn wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 08:29 Dnipro will host AEK Larnaca in Kosice. They planned to play in Southern Poland for weeks, but eventually will play their home Play-off match even farther south.
On Lokomotiva stadium? Is that ground suitable for Europen football?
Yes, on Lokomotiva stadium. Must be suitable because the decision has been made.

They planned to play in the city of Danube Streda at first, but decided to change the decision for logistical reasons.
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Firnen
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Post by Firnen »

Greyn wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 11:41 Odds to qualify for the EL Group Stage:

HJK - 2.19, Silkeborg IF - 1.60
FK Austria Wien - 3.09, Fenerbahçe SK - 1.32
FC Zürich - 1.45, Heart of Midlothian FC - 2.55
Malmö FF - 2.10, Sivasspor Kulübü - 1.65
Dnipro-1 - 2.25, AEK Larnaca - 1.57
Apóllon FC - 3.64, Olympiakós SFP - 1.24
Pyunik Yerevan - 2.73, Sheriff Tiraspol - 1.40
Ludogorets Razgrad - 1.25, Žalgiris Vilnius - 3.56
Ferencvárosi TC - 1.26, Shamrock Rovers FC - 3.48
KAA Gent - 1.19, AS Omónia Lefkossías - 4.15

If I had to pick one tie to bet, I would bet on Silkeborg to qualify. I think that relation between odds - probability of success is best here.
Malmo too, Sivasspor is a midtable Turkish team that won the Cup and well, we already saw Konyaspor too.
Perhaps Hearts? Zurich is winless in the Swiss League after 4 matches - Linfield was a very low obstacle.
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Post by bugylibicska »

Odds for the 1st legs:

Ferencvaros v Shamrock Rovers 1.44 4.20 7.50
Apollon Limassol v Olympiacos 3.40 3.20 2.20
Malmo v Sivasspor 1.83 3.30 4.75
Pyunik v Sheriff Tiraspol 2.90 3.00 2.60
Zurich v Hearts 1.85 3.50 4.20
Ludogorets v Zalgiris 1.44 4.33 7.50
Dnipro-1 v AEK Larnaca 2.50 3.20 2.90
HJK Helsinki v Silkeborg 2.70 3.10 2.70
Gent v Omonia Nicosia 1.33 4.80 10.00
Austria Vienna v Fenerbahce 2.75 3.25 2.60
Stadion
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Post by Stadion »

@Posmatrač
@Firnen

I think you guys underestimate the state of Malmö's struggles at the moment -- they're capable of losing vs any team at the moment.
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Firnen
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Post by Firnen »

AEK put their match at 19.00, Omonoia and Apollon at 20.00.

Cyprus teams are 5-1-0 at home so far, with Midtjylland the only team who has avoided defeat in Cyprus.
Diouf
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Post by Diouf »

Lorenzo Carli made this simulation of the EL playoff-round and the pots the team will land in:

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